3 days ago · Iran ’s militias — from Hezbollah in Lebanon, already degraded after losing its own conflict with Israel last year, to the Iraqi militias under the control of Iran ’s Islamic Revolutionary. With each passing day since Israel launched its ongoing military campaign against Iran on June 13, the question of whether Hezbollah will enter the conflict —whether at Iran ’s request or of its own accord—has become more pressing. Will the Lebanese Shiite party join the fight, despite its defeat in the two-month war last year (September–November, 2024), in which Israel wreaked. Once considered Iran ’s most powerful proxy, the armed Lebanese group has been hobbled by Israel in recent months and is not likely to directly intervene in Tehran’s fight against Jerusalem,. In June 2025, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion—a preemptive strike on Iran ’s nuclear and military sites—triggering a massive Iranian missile and drone attack that killed 30 Israeli civilians. Responded with precision airstrikes on Iran ’s key nuclear facilities, leading to a ceasefire on June 23. AJC experts say the conflict reshaped regional dynamics, reaffirmed U.S. Israel clearly has no intention of pausing its military campaign for the 21-day ceasefire proposed by 12 nations, including its closest ally, the United States. Its military reckon they have. Cross-border fighting has returned to a lower intensity following Israel ’s preemptive strike in Lebanon, but the conflict could escalate again, and a reprisal from Iran remains likely. Recognizing the urgency of domestic stability, the Iranian group decided to deprioritize its proxy endeavors, opting instead for cautious financial support to help Hezbollah rebuild without incurring further Israeli strikes. Israel may now have “escalation dominance” over Iran and its proxies, but a new bipartisan Atlantic Council report underscores the need for a strong and long-term strategy for dealing with Tehran. 5 days ago · The Islamic Republic limps on after the 12-day conflict . Where will the nation go from here? The recent military escalation between Hezbollah and Israel , coupled with US-led mediation efforts, has reignited discussions about the future trajectory of the Lebanese Shiite group. Hezbollah Secretary General Naim Qassem’s speech on November 20 emphasized two key demands: a permanent ceasefire and the preservation of Lebanese sovereignty.
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