At the core of Israel ’s calculus lies Iran ’s dual- threat capability: nuclear breakout potential combined with an expanding missile arsenal. The June 2025 operation targeted both. But in doing so, it shattered longstanding strategic ambiguity. Tehran now faces a dilemma: escalate openly toward nuclearization or absorb the setback and. Why Israelis Fear the Prospect of a Nuclear -Armed Iran Much of the world views Iran ’s nuclear program with alarm, and experts say its stockpile of highly enriched uranium has grown fast. 5 days ago · Facing an existential threat in the 1960s, Israel hastily assembled an atomic device. What will Iran choose to do? In October 2023, Iran directly struck Israel with missiles and drones, marking a threshold into open warfare. In late 2024, Israel ’s PM Netanyahu secretly planned strikes against Iran ’s nuclear capabilities, ultimately executing them in mid‑ 2025 . Who’s the most powerful? Israeli leaders believe that Iran is more vulnerable now, US intelligence findings revealed. United States intelligence agencies have assessed that Israel is considering launching significant strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025 , aiming to capitalise on Iran’s weakened position. Israel has long viewed Iran ’ s nuclear program as an existential threat, a stance rooted in the country’s Holocaust-shaped ethos of “never again.” Polls suggest that a majority of Israelis support a preemptive strike. If the scenario of an Israeli attack on Iran ’s nuclear sites materializes, Tehran will likely utilize the abovementioned capacities. Together with its regional allies, it will likely launch missiles extensively against Israel and the US-aligned camp of countries. Israel ’s choice between striking Iran ’s nuclear program before January 20 or waiting for Trump’s second term presents no easy answers. Immediate action offers a chance to neutralize an existential threat while Iran is vulnerable but carries the risks of escalation, isolation, and limited international support. Israel has long maintained that it will not allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons, and the current conflict, characterized by strikes on nuclear facilities, demonstrates the growing tensions. If a nuclear bomb were to detonate in 2025, the immediate humanitarian impact would be catastrophic.
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