The Long Shadow: Iran's Missile Attack and the Future of the Middle East

The Long Shadow: Iran's Missile Attack and the Future of the Middle East

1 day ago · Yet Iran was still able to mount missile attacks against Israel, overwhelming its vaunted anti- missile defence system. Iran can now shift its focus towards rebuilding and rearming. The Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear program and military assets and Iran's responding missile strikes represent a significant escalation in the long-standing tensions between the two nations. RAND experts provide insights into the strategic, diplomatic, and economic dimensions of this unfolding crisis. Israel’s killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah — made possible by rock-solid intelligence and a lethal payload of as many as eighty bombs that penetrated his Beirut bunker—has escalated a collision course between two dramatically different visions of the Middle East’s future. The military operations carried out by Israel and Iran in April 2024 were a turning point in the long escalatory cycle of Middle East conflicts. They moved beyond the shadow war, which has played out since 1982, into a direct confrontation that increased the dangers for the entire region. 3 days ago · Its missile arsenal, once the pride of its military deterrent, lies degraded. Its nuclear program, long the shadow pillar of its deterrence strategy, has sustained serious, though still publicly unquantified, damage. Its security apparatus, deeply infiltrated by Israeli intelligence, has been laid bare. The assault on Iran’s nuclear and missile sites has vastly improved the chances of normalized Israel-Arab relations, as well as a more stable Middle East . It’s an achievement that shouldn’t be underestimated — but it’s not the end of the road either. 3 days ago · The Middle East has now entered a new era of normalized interstate conflict, triggered by Iran’s direct missile and drone attacks on Israel last year, which set the predicate for the recent U.S. And Israeli bombing of Iran’s nuclear sites. In June 2025, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion—a preemptive strike on Iran’s nuclear and military sites—triggering a massive Iranian missile and drone attack that killed 30 Israeli civilians. Responded with precision airstrikes on Iran’s key nuclear facilities, leading to a ceasefire on June 23. AJC experts say the conflict reshaped regional dynamics, reaffirmed U.S. In the complex tapestry of global geopolitics, the recent missile attack by Iran against Israeli targets marks a critical shift in the Middle East’s security paradigm. This event, far from being. It’ s too soon to tell how exactly the current wave of Israeli strikes could transform the region, but one thing is clear: Israel’ s actions have fundamentally reshaped the security landscape of.

1 day ago · Yet Iran was still able to mount missile attacks against Israel, overwhelming its vaunted anti- missile defence system. Iran can now shift its focus towards rebuilding and rearming. The Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear program and military assets and Iran's responding missile strikes represent a significant escalation in the long-standing tensions between the two nations. RAND experts provide insights into the strategic, diplomatic, and economic dimensions of this unfolding crisis. Israel’s killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah — made possible by rock-solid intelligence and a lethal payload of as many as eighty bombs that penetrated his Beirut bunker—has escalated a collision course between two dramatically different visions of the Middle East’s future. The military operations carried out by Israel and Iran in April 2024 were a turning point in the long escalatory cycle of Middle East conflicts. They moved beyond the shadow war, which has played out since 1982, into a direct confrontation that increased the dangers for the entire region. 3 days ago · Its missile arsenal, once the pride of its military deterrent, lies degraded. Its nuclear program, long the shadow pillar of its deterrence strategy, has sustained serious, though still publicly unquantified, damage. Its security apparatus, deeply infiltrated by Israeli intelligence, has been laid bare. The assault on Iran’s nuclear and missile sites has vastly improved the chances of normalized Israel-Arab relations, as well as a more stable Middle East . It’s an achievement that shouldn’t be underestimated — but it’s not the end of the road either. 3 days ago · The Middle East has now entered a new era of normalized interstate conflict, triggered by Iran’s direct missile and drone attacks on Israel last year, which set the predicate for the recent U.S. And Israeli bombing of Iran’s nuclear sites. In June 2025, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion—a preemptive strike on Iran’s nuclear and military sites—triggering a massive Iranian missile and drone attack that killed 30 Israeli civilians. Responded with precision airstrikes on Iran’s key nuclear facilities, leading to a ceasefire on June 23. AJC experts say the conflict reshaped regional dynamics, reaffirmed U.S. In the complex tapestry of global geopolitics, the recent missile attack by Iran against Israeli targets marks a critical shift in the Middle East’s security paradigm. This event, far from being. It’ s too soon to tell how exactly the current wave of Israeli strikes could transform the region, but one thing is clear: Israel’ s actions have fundamentally reshaped the security landscape of.

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