The Iran Nuclear Threat: A Critical Look at the Evidence

The Iran Nuclear Threat: A Critical Look at the Evidence

The United States joined Israel’s bombing campaign of Iran ’s nuclear program. A clear picture of the damage inside Iran —and the state of its nuclear strength—is still unfolding. 6 days ago · US and Israeli airstrikes on the Esfahan Nuclear Technology Center (ENTC) between June 12 and 24 reportedly destroyed components of Iran’s nuclear program that would be necessary for weaponization. “CIA can confirm that a body of credible intelligence indicates Iran ’s Nuclear Program has been severely damaged by the recent, targeted strikes,” agency director John Ratcliffe said in a. 6 days ago · How an atomic weapon is built, and what the recent Israeli and U.S. Attacks on Iran may mean for the country’s nuclear ambitions. The latest attacks have come amid growing concern over Iran ’s nuclear program, prompting questions over what this means for the global non-proliferation regime. This conundrum calls for a rigorous examination of Iran ’s deter-rence policy and the identification of obstacles hindering the adop-tion of a nuclear deterrence strategy. The present study’s contribution is thus twofold. Iran ’ s nuclear breakout time has become a key question as President Trump considers whether to bomb the Islamic regime’s key underground nuclear facility. The public debate in Iran over the value of a nuclear deterrent intensified in 2024, when senior Iranian officials suggested that Iran may rethink Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s fatwa prohibiting nuclear weapons if security conditions warranted it. Drawing from historical precedents and lessons learned from the deeply flawed nuclear deal with Iran in 2015 and leveraging today’s rare opportunity to force a weakened Iran into nuclear submission, this report presents a comprehensive road map for ensuring that the Islamic Republic is never allowed to cross the nuclear weapon threshold. This paper examines the steps that the United States and its partners should pursue to stabilize the current nuclear situation over the coming year and incentivize Iran to roll back some of its most proliferation-sensitive nuclear activities.

The United States joined Israel’s bombing campaign of Iran ’s nuclear program. A clear picture of the damage inside Iran —and the state of its nuclear strength—is still unfolding. 6 days ago · US and Israeli airstrikes on the Esfahan Nuclear Technology Center (ENTC) between June 12 and 24 reportedly destroyed components of Iran’s nuclear program that would be necessary for weaponization. “CIA can confirm that a body of credible intelligence indicates Iran ’s Nuclear Program has been severely damaged by the recent, targeted strikes,” agency director John Ratcliffe said in a. 6 days ago · How an atomic weapon is built, and what the recent Israeli and U.S. Attacks on Iran may mean for the country’s nuclear ambitions. The latest attacks have come amid growing concern over Iran ’s nuclear program, prompting questions over what this means for the global non-proliferation regime. This conundrum calls for a rigorous examination of Iran ’s deter-rence policy and the identification of obstacles hindering the adop-tion of a nuclear deterrence strategy. The present study’s contribution is thus twofold. Iran ’ s nuclear breakout time has become a key question as President Trump considers whether to bomb the Islamic regime’s key underground nuclear facility. The public debate in Iran over the value of a nuclear deterrent intensified in 2024, when senior Iranian officials suggested that Iran may rethink Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s fatwa prohibiting nuclear weapons if security conditions warranted it. Drawing from historical precedents and lessons learned from the deeply flawed nuclear deal with Iran in 2015 and leveraging today’s rare opportunity to force a weakened Iran into nuclear submission, this report presents a comprehensive road map for ensuring that the Islamic Republic is never allowed to cross the nuclear weapon threshold. This paper examines the steps that the United States and its partners should pursue to stabilize the current nuclear situation over the coming year and incentivize Iran to roll back some of its most proliferation-sensitive nuclear activities.

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